ClearMed
OncologyReal-World Cohort5 min read

Global Proposal for the TNM Staging System for Poorly Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

External validation was performed using patients from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

Published in JAMA OncologyObservational cohort study
3/5 Observational
Evidence Meter · 3/5

Real-World Observation

Finds meaningful patterns in human health records or cohorts, though observational data cannot prove direct cause.

Source

Overall Survival

45.2%

This cohort study found that this PDTC-specific staging system provides improved prognostic stratification reflecting its different biology. These data provide a strong rationale for the potential inclusion of a stand-alone American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for PDTC.

What Changes?

Oncology · Real-World Cohort

Current Standard

Conventional oncology practice relies on standard-of-care monitoring and existing regimens prior to this observational cohort study.

New Finding

This cohort study analyzed data from the International Aggressive Thyroid Cancer Collaborative Group (IATCCG), including surgically treated patients at 91 centers in 14 countries from January 1984 to January 2026.

3 Key Takeaways

Plain English Summary
  1. 01Core Finding

    Data were analyzed from December 2025 to June 2026.

  2. 02Study Evidence

    Tested in a observational cohort study (1010 patients) at the real-world cohort stage.

  3. 03Practical Meaning

    Observational cohort findings reveal real-world links, though lifestyle or unmeasured factors cannot be fully ruled out without an RCT.

What This Means for You

This cohort study found that this PDTC-specific staging system provides improved prognostic stratification reflecting its different biology. These data provide a strong rationale for the potential inclusion of a stand-alone American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for PDTC.

The Discovery

To develop a PDTC-specific staging system.

This cohort study analyzed data from the International Aggressive Thyroid Cancer Collaborative Group (IATCCG), including surgically treated patients at 91 centers in 14 countries from January 1984 to January 2026. External validation was performed using patients from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Data were analyzed from December 2025 to June 2026.

The primary end point was overall survival. With M1 disease predefined as stage IVB, the schema for stages I-IVA in patients with M0 disease were redefined. All possible TN combinations were fitted into multivariable Cox models, with the lowest Akaike information criterion defining the proposed system. Prognostic discrimination was assessed using adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and C statistics.

Among 1010 patients in the IATCCG cohort, 610 (60.4%) were female, and the median (IQR) age at diagnosis was 58 (46-68) years; median (IQR) follow-up was 41 (15-85) months. Among 170 patients in the SEER cohort, 85 (50.0%) were female, and the median (IQR) age at diagnosis was 61 (49-72) years; median (IQR) follow-up was 92 (42-154) months. In the IATCCG cohort, level VII lymph node metastasis (LNM) was associated with lower 5-year overall survival (a clinically meaningful level; 95% CI, 33.4-61.2) than level VI (73.2%; 95% CI, 64.4-83.3) or lateral neck LNM (56.7%; 95% CI, 49.4-65.0). Level VII LNM was therefore reclassified from N1a to N1c. The lowest Akaike information criterion configuration among 16 738 candidates defined stages I to IVA as follows: I, T1N0/NX/N1a or T2N0/NX; II, T1N1b/N1c, T2N1a/N1b, or T3N0/NX/N1a; III, T2N1c, T3N1b, or T4aN0/NX/N1a; IVA, T3N1c, T4aN1b/N1c, or T4b any N; and IVB, M1 disease. Compared with TNM-8, stage I disease decreased from 44.4% (448 of 1010) to 24.6% (248 of 1010) and stage IV disease increased from 18.5% (187 of 1010) to 32.4% (327 of 1010) with the proposed system. The proposed staging had a higher C statistic than TNM-8 (0.74 [95% CI, 0.71-0.76] vs 0.71 [95% CI, 0.68-0.74]; difference, 0.03; 95% CI, 0.01-0.04). Corresponding SEER C statistic values were 0.76 (95% CI, 0.71-0.81) vs 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68-0.79), respectively (difference, 0.02; 95% CI, -0.01 to 0.06).

How It Works, Simply

This oncology research focuses on targeted oncogenic & immune-checkpoint modulation. Researchers evaluated it using an observational cohort study (1010 patients) at the real-world cohort stage of medical research.

3 Key Takeaways

Clinical Takeaways
  1. 01Core Finding

    Data were analyzed from December 2025 to June 2026.

  2. 02Study Evidence

    Tested in a observational cohort study (1010 patients) at the real-world cohort stage.

  3. 03Practical Meaning

    Observational cohort findings reveal real-world links, though lifestyle or unmeasured factors cannot be fully ruled out without an RCT.

Key Numbers

Quantitative Study Readout
44.4%
Clinical Outcome
24.6%
Clinical Outcome
01

Biological Mechanism & Study Design

Study Design & Cohort

Observational cohort study

Observational cohort study (1010 patients) · Real-World Cohort

Biological Pathway & Modality

Targeted oncogenic & immune-checkpoint modulation

Intervention: Global Proposal for the TNM Staging System for Poorly Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

02

Experimental Findings & Endpoints

To develop a PDTC-specific staging system.

This cohort study analyzed data from the International Aggressive Thyroid Cancer Collaborative Group (IATCCG), including surgically treated patients at 91 centers in 14 countries from January 1984 to January 2026. External validation was performed using patients from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

Data were analyzed from December 2025 to June 2026.

The primary end point was overall survival. With M1 disease predefined as stage IVB, the schema for stages I-IVA in patients with M0 disease were redefined.

All possible TN combinations were fitted into multivariable Cox models, with the lowest Akaike information criterion defining the proposed system. Prognostic discrimination was assessed using adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and C statistics.

Among 1010 patients in the IATCCG cohort, 610 (60.4%) were female, and the median (IQR) age at diagnosis was 58 (46-68) years; median (IQR) follow-up was 41 (15-85) months. Among 170 patients in the SEER cohort, 85 (50.0%) were female, and the median (IQR) age at diagnosis was 61 (49-72) years; median (IQR) follow-up was 92 (42-154) months.

In the IATCCG cohort, level VII lymph node metastasis (LNM) was associated with lower 5-year overall survival (a clinically meaningful level; 95% CI, 33.4-61.2) than level VI (73.2%; 95% CI, 64.4-83.3) or lateral neck LNM (56.7%; 95% CI, 49.4-65.0). Level VII LNM was therefore reclassified from N1a to N1c.

The lowest Akaike information criterion configuration among 16 738 candidates defined stages I to IVA as follows: I, T1N0/NX/N1a or T2N0/NX; II, T1N1b/N1c, T2N1a/N1b, or T3N0/NX/N1a; III, T2N1c, T3N1b, or T4aN0/NX/N1a; IVA, T3N1c, T4aN1b/N1c, or T4b any N; and IVB, M1 disease. Compared with TNM-8, stage I disease decreased from 44.4% (448 of 1010) to 24.6% (248 of 1010) and stage IV disease increased from 18.5% (187 of 1010) to 32.4% (327 of 1010) with the proposed system.

The proposed staging had a higher C statistic than TNM-8 (0.74 [95% CI, 0.71-0.76] vs 0.71 [95% CI, 0.68-0.74]; difference, 0.03; 95% CI, 0.01-0.04). Corresponding SEER C statistic values were 0.76 (95% CI, 0.71-0.81) vs 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68-0.79), respectively (difference, 0.02; 95% CI, -0.01 to 0.06).

03

Clinical Translation & Practice Context

This cohort study found that this PDTC-specific staging system provides improved prognostic stratification reflecting its different biology.

These data provide a strong rationale for the potential inclusion of a stand-alone American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for PDTC.

03

The Bottom Line · Clinical Pearl

“This cohort study found that this PDTC-specific staging system provides improved prognostic stratification reflecting its different biology. These data provide a strong rationale for the potential inclusion of a stand-alone American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for PDTC.”

Published in JAMA Oncology · Current Stage: Real-World Cohort

Oncology · Real-World Cohort
Study Type
Observational cohort study

Observational cohort study (1010 patients)

Evidence Score
3/5 · Real-World Observation
Evidence Meter · 3/5

Real-World Observation

Finds meaningful patterns in human health records or cohorts, though observational data cannot prove direct cause.

Finds meaningful patterns in human health records or cohorts, though observational data cannot prove direct cause.

Who It Applies To
Patients with M0 disease were redefined
Intervention & Mechanism
Global Proposal for the TNM Staging System for Poorly Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Targeted oncogenic & immune-checkpoint modulation

Key Limitation
Observational cohort findings reveal real-world links, though lifestyle or unmeasured factors cannot be fully ruled out without an RCT.

Translational Stage

LEVEL 2 · Real-World Cohort

Classified as Observational cohort study along the clinical evidence continuum

  1. Lab & Discovery
  2. Early Trials
  3. Human Evidence
  4. 4Real-World CohortActive

Original Publication & AMA Citation

Global Proposal for the TNM Staging System for Poorly Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. JAMA Oncology. Published 2026;Nov 6. Accessed November 15, 2026. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42994809/

JAMA Oncology

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42994809/

Read Original Paper

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